Petrol price forecasts for Australia
Updated 56 minutes ago · Unleaded 91, metro averages
Where every state sits in its price cycle, and whether today is a good day to fill up. Each verdict is built from recent station prices, the price of oil in Australian dollars, and the exchange rate — see how it works.
NSW is near a cycle peak.
VIC is near a cycle peak.
QLD prices are climbing.
WA is in a steady phase.
SA is near a cycle peak.
TAS is in a steady phase.
ACT is near a cycle peak.
NT is in a steady phase.
National metro average 175.4¢/L — the benchmark on every card, not a forecast.
The market data behind every forecast
All eight state models share the same wholesale inputs: the price of oil in Australian dollars and the AUD/USD exchange rate. When these move, pump prices tend to follow.
How these forecasts work
What goes in
30 days of station prices from official state government feeds, Brent crude oil priced in both US and Australian dollars, and the AUD/USD exchange rate.
How often it updates
Forecasts regenerate about every six hours.
How it's built
Recent station-price momentum is blended with oil-price movement to project the next 7 days for each state. Each state also gets a cycle verdict — fill up now or wait — anchored on its metro average.
Being honest about it
Forecasts are statistical estimates, not guarantees — confidence is shown per day, and accuracy is measured against what prices actually did.
Frequently asked questions
What are these petrol price forecasts?
A 7-day outlook for pump prices in each Australian state — showing where prices sit in their cycle and whether today is a good day to fill up. It is a guide built from recent station prices and wholesale cost signals, not a guarantee.
How often are the forecasts updated?
New forecasts are generated about every six hours as fresh prices and market data come in. This page serves a cached copy that refreshes within about fifteen minutes of each run.
What does the confidence figure mean?
Each day carries a confidence score that reflects how much history and how clear a signal the model had for that state and fuel. Higher means a firmer read; lower means treat it as a rough guide. It is not a probability or a guaranteed price range.
Why do the states differ?
Each state runs on its own price cycle and its own local data, so one can be near the top of its cycle while another is near the bottom. Every forecast is computed per state rather than as a single national number.
Is a forecast a guarantee?
No. It is an informed estimate from past prices, the price of oil in Australian dollars, and the exchange rate. Real pump prices can move for reasons no model sees, so use it as a guide rather than a promise.