Forecast Β· NT

Northern Territory petrol price forecast

Where Northern Territory sits in its price cycle over the next seven days, and the oil and exchange-rate pressure behind it.

Unleaded 91, metro average

Updated
CLIMBING
FILL UP SOONMETRO

NT prices are climbing.

Expected to rise ~+4Β’ over the week.

NT AVG214.9Β’
VS AU+9.6Β’
BEST DAYTomorrow

Next 7 days

Forecast Β· metro
  • BEST
    Tmrw213.4
    -1.5
    78%
  • Sun214.4
    +1.0
    71%
  • Mon215.4
    +1.0
    65%
  • Tue215.6
    +0.2
    59%
  • Wed216.7
    +1.1
    54%
  • Thu217.1
    +0.4
    50%
  • Fri217.6
    +0.5
    45%

Why this verdict

Northern Territory prices are on the way up.

  • Retail momentum β€” Station prices have been rising by about 0.4Β’/L a day recently.

  • Oil prices β€” Oil priced in Australian dollars is pushing pump prices up by about 1.0Β’/L a day.

  • Model outlook β€” Weighing both together, the model shifts its day-ahead outlook up by about 0.7Β’/L a day.

Built from 408 days of price history at 85% model confidence.

Past 30 days & next 7 days

Daily averageForecast

Solid is what stations charged; dashed is the model's point forecast. The model produces a direction and a per-day confidence, not a range, so no band is drawn.

What the forecast watches

The Northern Territory forecast starts from the same wholesale inputs every state shares β€” the price of oil in Australian dollars and the AUD/USD exchange rate. When these move, pump prices tend to follow.

Brent crude, 90 days

Sources: calculated, api-ninjas

AUD to USD, 90 days

Sources: frankfurter.dev

How these forecasts work

What goes in

30 days of station prices from official state government feeds, Brent crude oil priced in both US and Australian dollars, and the AUD/USD exchange rate.

How often it updates

Forecasts regenerate about every six hours.

How it's built

Recent station-price momentum is blended with oil-price movement to project the next 7 days for each state. Each state also gets a cycle verdict β€” fill up now or wait β€” anchored on its metro average.

Being honest about it

Forecasts are statistical estimates, not guarantees β€” confidence is shown per day, and accuracy is measured against what prices actually did.

This page shows the Northern Territory model; every state shares the same inputs.

Frequently asked questions

Will Northern Territory fuel prices go up or down?

The forecast shows the model's 7-day direction for Northern Territory, based on where prices sit in the local cycle plus oil and exchange-rate pressure. Check the verdict and timeline above for the current read β€” it is a guide, not a guarantee.

How often is the Northern Territory forecast updated?

New forecasts for Northern Territory are generated about every six hours as fresh prices and market data arrive. This page serves a cached copy that refreshes within about fifteen minutes of each run.

What does the confidence figure mean?

Each day carries a confidence score reflecting how much history and how clear a signal the model had for Northern Territory. Higher means a firmer read; lower means treat it as a rough guide. It is not a probability or a guaranteed price range.

What drives the Northern Territory forecast?

Recent Northern Territory station prices, the price of oil in Australian dollars, and the AUD/USD exchange rate. Wholesale costs feed through to the pump with a delay, so oil and the dollar hint at where prices are heading.

Is the Northern Territory forecast a guarantee?

No β€” it is an estimate and can be wrong. Use it as a guide alongside live prices when you decide where and when to fill up in Northern Territory.